OUR GREATEST STRATEGIC THREAT
To me it is DEPENDENCE ON FOREIGN OIL. Ok, a possible nuclear attack would be more devastating for sure in a moment’s notice. But deterrence against such attacks, capable of being delivered today ONLY by Russia or China is remote. The loss of foreign oil supplies is not at all remote however. Just close the Straits of Hormuz for a week and watch gas prices double at the pump, in a heartbeat.
Oh, my, Anson, you mean DEBT is not our biggest threat? You have been warning of the “cliff” for so long I thought that was all you were concerned about. That is what the EC would say, for sure, but he never comes “over here” any longer and if he tries it “over there” I am always around, “lurking” and commenting as well to keep him straight (which is impossible, I admit).
I hope I need not go into a lengthy discussion about “what if” foreign oil stops flowing into America. I leave that for you to figure out. Let it just be said by me, OMG! Turn off the cars, baby and maybe even some of the lights, as well.
So what to do about that big threat, how big, I leave it to you to decide?
Step one, no more oil fired electrical power generation in this country in say five years. Convert such power stations to coal or natural gas, period, as a first step and pay the increased electrical bills while doing so.
Second start NOW to build nuclear power generating stations. Start digging NOW and obtainwork permits and licsences through an accelerated federal and state review process while digging. Within five to ten years we could have enough new nuclear stations on line to ELIMINATE the need for any oil fired stations. As well if the environmentalists scream loud enough about Global Warming, we can start down the path to eliminate coal fired plants in the mid-term, say 10 – 20 years from now.
Someday, MAYBE, solar, geothermal or wind power MAY create enough energy to reduce the number of nuclear generating stations in the distant future. Fine. Let the technology develop to do so and see what happens. BUT, don’t hang our hats on such new technology now. We don’t have time to wait.
So that takes care of electrical power generation, near, mid and far term. But what about transportation?
Tougher problem for sure as we will not be building nuclear powered cars anytime soon!
Well right now I say HYBRIDE vehicles, as fast as we can make them. At least we move to 50 mpg instead of the current 20 or so. That reduces our demand for gasoline by over one half, in a heartbeat, so to speak.
But how you ask can we get consumers to buy such smaller cars today. OK, liberals, I join you and call for a “whooping” increase in the federal tax on gasoline. Use the money to build better transportation infrastructure that you have been crying about for a long time. But please, no more investments in Solyndra. You, the government did not know what you were doing in that case and I doubt you could improve much in the future, picking and choosing companies to develop technology.
We also know right now how to use Hydrogen power for vehicles. But that takes huge infrastructure changes in refueling stations to make it happen across the country. There is another opportunity to use the windfall gasoline taxes. Build or incentivize the building of Hydrogen stations where current gasoline stations currently exist, across the country. Tough job but doable at least for the mid-term, 10 – 20 years from now.
Acutually, in my view, Hydrogen powered vehicles is a long term solution. So in this case, fix the mid-term problem and you have the long term problem solved as well with nothing “fancy” needed. Nope it just requires someone to make a decision then work hard to implement it. Government can FORCE that decision by driving up the price of gasoline through taxes to make consumers and producers of other fuels (batteries and hydrogen) cost effective in the future.
Just think what might happen, just in the Middle East if a U.S. President stood, as JFK did 50 years ago. Instead of going to the moon, this time our President would say “In ten years no foreign oil will enter the U.S., ever again, period”. OK, Kings X Canada. Build the pipeline which I now authorize and we’ll let you keep pumping oil to us but only for transportation. And we will help by building some refineries “up north” to protect our Sand Mountains at the same time!!!
Opps, I must ask, do we still know how to build a refinery?? I hope so but it has been a while since we have done so.
One brave speech, one brave step for America by one President. Then kick the EPA and anyone else in the pants, which any President can do (Heck, appoint ME as the head of the EPA) to make it happen. Sounds a lot easier, technically, that flying to the moon.
Oh, I forgot. CUT OFF any subsidies to “Big OIL” right NOW, unless those subsidies go into U.S. oil and natural gas exploration. That alone saves us maybe a few $ Billion each year as we proceed with vision and courage to a new frontier of energy for America.
Oh yeah, one other thing. Get the heck out of the way, Senator Reid and open Yucca Mountain.
January 22, 2012 at 9:25 am |
If they were to build refineries in the north, would it be necessary pump the oil all the way to the gulf, which already has access to gulf oil? If you have ever traveled to the upper midwest, the prices of gas are always higher due to the fact that no refineries exist. The savings could be used for building the refineries in the north. Also, how about continuing tax incentives for those that buy hybrid vehicles or take steps to make their homes more energy efficient?
By the way, in our discussion on ECs blog, how could I have left out the Pinto and the Gremlin?
Kabe
January 22, 2012 at 10:20 am |
Kabe,
First, we can both agree that U.S. auto makers made bad decisions on many models. And the market took care of it until the recent bailout. No argiuments from me on such points except I disagree with the government bailouts for bad management decisions, or Union decisions for that matter.
Now for energy distribution decisions, as well as government incentives provided to encourage such decisions. Again, let the market decide, not government, in my view.
Suppose government simply stopped incentivizing anything related to energy. For sure our auto fuel prices would go up. That means people reach a point where they no longer buy fuel guzzlers out of their own self interests. But I want my pickup truck and government should keep fue; prices low enough so I can still drive one.
Baloney. You want to drive a pickup truck, then pay the consequences. Soon we would find the U.S. highways looking more like Europe with small and very fuel efficient cars on the roads.
Note my comment on the EC blog if mpg statistics went from an average of 20 to say 40 mpg, with no government mandates, incentives or controls. We cut our transportation dependency of foreign oil by a huge percentage and it mitigates a national security issue as well as economic (balance of payments) issue as well.
Just get government out of economic decisions and the market will do the rest, in my view.
Unless you or liberals say “poor” people cannot afford high gas prices and therefore…….. There we go arguing over issues that are NOT related to national security or enhancing our economy. We are back to the “I NEED it (low fuel prices) and therefore government should do something about it.” And thus the Straits of Hormuz become of grave concern to America.
Well how about a government subsidy for bicycles. A lot cheaper subsidy and it might help the obesity problem as well and save money on HC???
Anson
January 22, 2012 at 10:34 am |
New refineries have three big issues preventing them: Government regulations, extremely high cost, and perhaps the biggest, NIMBY.
January 22, 2012 at 11:07 am |
My suggestion to have incentives for energy conservation are strictly for the US to become less dependent on foreign oil and for national security reasons. The social aspects which you bring up never entered my mind. Also, when people say it will still cost a lot to have electric vehicles, I say who cares because we will not lose one young person to a war over electricity. Incentives for battery development or for hybrids is necessary for security reasons, in my opinion.
About the bail outs. Lets not forget that Nissan, Toyota, and Mtzubishi all received loans from their governments in 2009. Nobody ever brings that up, look it up if you think it is false.
Kabe
January 23, 2012 at 10:24 am |
Kabe,
I was not aware of government incentives to Japanese auto manufacturers but it does not surprise me. Japanese government and industries have always been closely linked. And look at the doldrums of the Japanese economy for a couple of decades now.
Producing the best cars for Americans should NOT be a function of government, it should be based on wise decisions by auto makers. And if auto Unions ever got smart they would participate in such discussions with auto designers and manufacturers. The future of Union jobs is ultimately at stake in the quality, design and cost of vehicles produced, not just the wages and benefits of union workers!!! Novel thought, is it not?
As for Nonny’s NIBMY point, that is very valid as well. Solution? Stop builiding or operating “smelly” refineries or ones that polute the water or ground in an area. THAT will advance environmental concerns far more than the dictatorial hand of government.
Anson